58.8% of lupus patients screen positive for FSD — 2.6x healthy controls, though extreme heterogeneity muddies the estimate
Journal: Frontiers in Immunology | Published: 2026-05-04 | Type: Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis | PMID: 42158876 Authors: Dai Xiaowei (Jilin University, Reproductive Medicine); Ding Hongxiang, Mao Dikai, Huang Jiaguo (Hangzhou Normal University, Urology) Funding/COI: Funding not listed; no commercial conflicts declared
Thirteen studies covering 1,511 women with SLE and 2,246 healthy controls found a pooled FSD prevalence of 58.8% and an odds ratio of 2.64 versus healthy controls. The direction of the finding is consistent, but the evidence base is undermined by extreme heterogeneity (I² = 96.8%), with individual study estimates ranging from 22% to 85.9%. The pooled figure is a statistical artifact of very different studies — not a reliable prevalence estimate.
Thirteen studies were included — 8 case-control and 5 cross-sectional, 12 of them single-center. Quality was assessed with AHRQ (cross-sectional, scores 7–9) and Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (case-control, scores 6–8); 9 studies rated high quality and 4 moderate. The review followed PRISMA guidelines and was pre-registered (INPLASY 202570092). Random-effects modeling was correctly applied given the heterogeneity.
The central problem is the I² of 96.8%. This is not mild or even substantial heterogeneity — it is extreme, meaning the underlying studies are reporting incompatible findings. Subgroup analyses by region, study design, and quality did not resolve heterogeneity within subgroups. Planned subgroup analyses by FSD assessment tool and number of study centers were abandoned for lack of data. When studies disagree this fundamentally, pooling them into a single prevalence number produces a figure that obscures more than it reveals.
The association between lupus and elevated FSD rates is biologically plausible and directionally consistent across studies — chronic inflammation, pain, fatigue, and corticosteroid use all offer mechanistic pathways. What this meta-analysis cannot credibly deliver is a single prevalence number. An I² of 96.8% means the included studies are not measuring the same underlying reality, and presenting "58.8%" as if it were a stable fact is misleading. Read this as a signal that FSD is common and understudied in SLE patients, and that the field lacks methodologically consistent data to say much more than that.